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Business news · Economy · 07 Oct 2026

RBI announces its rate decision at 10 am today; most economists polled see a 25 bp increase to 5.50%

IN Financial Services Realty Automobile and Auto Components

What happened

The Reserve Bank's six-member Monetary Policy Committee ends its October 5-7 meeting today, with Governor Sanjay Malhotra announcing the outcome at 10 am and meeting the press at noon. The repo rate has been 5.25% for four meetings. Economists widely forecast a 25 basis point increase to 5.50%, which would be the first since February 2023 and would follow 125 basis points of cuts in 2025. Consumer inflation was 4.82% in August, up from 4.45% in July and above the 4% target for a third month, with Brent recently above $100 and the rupee under pressure.

Why it matters for listed companies

The repo rate feeds straight into floating-rate home, car and small-business loans linked to external benchmarks, so a change reprices a large part of bank and housing-finance loan books within a quarter, while deposit costs adjust more slowly. Developers and vehicle makers are exposed through EMIs on financed purchases. Rate-sensitive groups were mixed on Tuesday: private banks rose while the realty and PSU bank indices slipped. The decision itself is not known at the time of writing; the stance and the inflation projection matter as much as the rate.

Reported by Forbes India — “RBI MPC Meeting LIVE: Rate hike in focus as inflation, oil rise” ↗ on 07 Oct 2026.

How these sectors have moved since

NSE stocks, from the last close on or before 07 Oct 2026 to the close on 16 Oct 2026.

SectorStocksMedian moveUpvs all stocks
Financial Services125 +0.2%65 of 125+1.1 pts
Realty17 +1.4%9 of 17+2.3 pts
Automobile and Auto Components52 +0.4%29 of 52+1.3 pts
All tracked stocks804-0.9%321 of 804—
These figures are measured, not attributed. Prices and rates move for many reasons at once; they show what happened after this story, not that the story caused it. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold.

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