IMD said the June-September southwest monsoon closed with a 12.6% all-India deficit: 759.4 mm against a normal of 868.6 mm, the lowest since 2015. South India got 76% of its long-period average and the east 74%. East and Northeast India had their lowest rainfall since 1901. Kharif sowing reached about 110.7 million hectares, only 1.2% below last year. Southern reservoirs were at 50% of live storage against 79% nationally. IMD sees October and October-December rain below normal, with El Nino peaking in November.
Why it matters for listed companies
Farm incomes drive rural spending, the main demand channel for FMCG makers, two-wheeler and tractor manufacturers, and agrochemical and fertiliser companies. Kharif acreage held up close to last year, which cushions the first-order hit. The bigger exposure is the rabi season and southern states, where reservoirs are low. Low reservoir levels also matter for hydropower output and irrigation-linked power demand in those states. Weaker crops can also feed food inflation, which is relevant to the RBI's rate decision.
These figures are measured, not attributed. Prices and rates move for many reasons at once; they show
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